Investors Should Be Prepared To Profit From Wide Swings In Silver Prices - Gold Prices

Feb. 15, 2013 - PRLog -- Most precious-metals investors understand that silver is more volatile than gold. But do they know just how large that distinction truly is? We thought it could be fascinating to measure just how much higher silver's every day moves are - each in gains and declines - than gold. We documented the every day price movements for each gold and silver, and after that calculated the distinction utilizing absolute values. How high will silver go? Learn more >>  http://www.silverpricestoday.cc/KITCO-SILVER/

The chart is very busy, however it clearly shows that silver's every day price movements, more frequently than not, have been higher than gold's. In reality, from January 2003 through last week, silver's movements had been bigger 71.5% of the time. Regardless of the path of precious metals on any given day, silver had a higher percentage move than gold roughly 3 out of 4 days.

Further, you will notice that the magnitude of silver's movement has been a lot higher, too. On average, silver's price movements exceeded gold's by 1.3 percentage points, while on days gold had the larger move the average was 0.81 percentage points. The moving averages effortlessly show this.

Listed here are some of the more intense examples. On May 12, 2011 (silver's greatest spike in the chart), gold rose 1.23% - but silver soared 17.05%. The greatest distinction in between the two precious metals occurred on December 2, 2008; gold rose 0.26% to silver's 5.05% decline. Rare Coins, Silver Coins, Gold Coins, Learn more >> http://www.silverpricestoday.cc/GOLD-COINS/

So, is this higher volatility in silver regular? And what may we anticipate when the Mania Phase of this bull cycle kicks in? In the last large precious metals mania, silver also logged larger one-day movements than gold, in this case 63.5% of the time. On average, silver gained or lost 1.41 percentage points more than gold. When gold outperformed silver, roughly one-third of the time, the average percentage-point distinction was 0.81.

You will notice another fascinating point. When the marketplace entered the Mania Phase, silver's larger one-day movements over gold's grew even larger. Throughout the 1979-1980 period, silver outperformed gold by an average of 2.46 percentage points, nearly double what it did prior to the mania. In contrast, gold's average remained exactly the same throughout the whole decade - 0.81.

Some of the more intense examples consist of September 18, 1979, exactly where gold rose by 6.82% and silver soared 36.59%; and March 27, 1980, exactly where gold fell 4.38% and silver dropped 18.58%.

What would be the Implications for Investors? On average, silver rises greater and falls further than gold. This really is just as accurate these days as it was in the 1970s. The distinction has reached as a lot as 15 percentage points throughout this cycle, while it hit 30 throughout the last mania. This means that investors:

Must have the ability to stomach the larger moves, regardless of the path. In the event you have a tendency to get emotional about your investments, you might wish to decrease your exposure to silver. Have a chance to get better prices on silver than gold. In the event you purchase throughout the downdrafts, you'll most likely reap a larger percentage gain than gold, as history has shown.

The historical track record tells us that when we enter the mania, silver's volatility will increase. If we have a comparable period as in 1979-'80, we are able to reasonably anticipate volatility to double over present levels. This may be the outcome of more investors joining the precious-metals business. The moves will, on some days, be breathtaking. So once more, one should be ready emotionally to deal with the volatility, as well as be more nimble with regards to purchasing and selling.

Since present volatility is roughly half what it was throughout the last mania, we have however another piece of proof that indicates we're not in a bubble. However. Ignore those that claim otherwise; you nonetheless have time to enter this marketplace.

Additionally, it means that when silver resumes its uptrend, the producers will outpace the metal by a wide margin. The "snapback" in silver shares should be tremendous - but not each business will benefit equally, as not all producers have exactly the same profit possible, political exposure, management prowess, and development prospects. How high will silver go? Learn more >>  http://silverpricestoday.cc/KITCO-SILVER/