2024 Presidential Election is Getting Closer

As the election nears, how should investors be rooting? Republicans are usually seen as more "business-friendly" than Democrats, but has that translated to stock market outperformance?
 
2024 Election
2024 Election
PHOENIX - Aug. 8, 2024 - PRLog -- Contrary to conventional wisdom, stocks have historically done better under Democratic presidents. Starting with Eisenhower in 1953, we estimate the S&P 500 has delivered a 14.1% annualized total return when a Democrat was in the Oval Office, compared to 8.9% under Republicans. Overall, large-cap U.S. stocks returned 11.2% per year—enough to turn $1 into almost $2,000.

Presidents aren't all-powerful. They can't snap their fingers and raise GDP or lower inflation. The United States has rule of law, separation of powers, and due process. Translating words into action is difficult; there's a difference between campaign talking points and passing legislation.

When thinking about historical returns, consider world events: Federal Reserve interest rate policy, financial crises, wars, geopolitical events, bubbles, inflation, etc. The President doesn't necessarily have control over these things.

The S&P 500 returned 17.5% per year during the two terms of Democrat Bill Clinton, who benefited from the inflating of the dot-com bubble. Then Republican George W. Bush (-3.8% annual return) was elected in time for the popping of the dot-com bubble and the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Bush finished his second term near the trough of the Global Financial Crisis. Democrat Barack Obama (+16.2% annual return) benefited from the post-crisis recovery in stock valuations and a long stretch of zero interest rates. Stocks then did well under Republicans Ronald Reagan (+15.1%/year), George H.W. Bush (+14.7%/year), and Donald Trump (+15.9%/year) but struggled during the Nixon/Ford administrations (+3.9%/year) because of the OPEC oil embargo, Watergate scandal, and high inflation.

Vote with your conscience without letting your political views influence your portfolio. Many different factors determine the short-term direction of the stock market—the president is only one.

Diversification helps to protect against risks from shifting political dynamics. Get a second opinion from Trajan Wealth's financial advisors.

About
Trajan Wealth, LLC was founded in 2012 by CEO Jeff Junior. Before his 20+ years in the financial services profession, Jeff served in the United States Marine Corps. He continues to serve clients and employees with the utmost service, respect, and attention to detail.

By using low-cost, diversified portfolios under its fiduciary standard and working with its investment advisors and estate attorneys within one office, they provide long-term support for client's retirement needs and estate plans in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Texas, Utah, and Illinois.

Visit https://trajanwealth.com or call 1-800-838-3079.

Disclaimer:
*Advisory services offered through Trajan® Wealth L.L.C., an SEC registered investment advisor. Legal services are offered through Trajan® Estate, L.L.C. in Arizona and Utah, and independent law firms in other states. Private equity may require accreditation.

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Tags:Financial, Wealth Management, Election, Presidential Election, Portfolio
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